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OptiSecure Insurance Analytics

Python Looker Studio Gemini AI Predictive Modeling

Overview

OptiSecure Insurance is an end-to-end analytics solution integrating Data Science, Predictive Modeling, and Business Intelligence to forecast policy renewals, optimize marketing campaigns, and enhance customer lifetime value.

The project uniquely features an AI-powered Looker Studio assistant powered by Google Gemini, allowing executives to derive natural-language insights directly from their data dashboards.

Key Goals & Features

OptiSecure Insurance: Renewal Analysis

Prepared by: Francis Afful Gyan, Business Intelligence Specialist

1. Executive Summary

This report provides an in-depth analysis of OptiSecure Insurance’s policy renewal trends. The overall policy renewal rate is 14.91%, indicating a moderate level of retention. However, predictive modeling reveals a significant opportunity: a "High Propensity" segment exists that performs at double the average rate.

Critical inefficiencies were detected in Campaign 2, which is statistically failing (1.3% acceptance). Conversely, drivers for renewal include high education levels (PhD/Masters), catalog engagement, and tenure milestones (Year 13).

Total Policyholders

2,240

Renewal Rate

14.91%

Avg Acceptance

5.96%

Campaign 2 Rate

1.3%

2. Data Overview & Quality

The analysis consolidated Customer Profile, Purchase Behaviour, and Campaign Performance data. Feature Engineering included creating a "Response Score" (predictive probability) and "Renewal Buckets" to classify customers into High (26%), Mid (24%), and Low (50%) tiers.

3. Key Analytical Findings

Education Impact: Higher education correlates with stability. PhD holders have the highest propensity score (0.29), compared to Basic education holders (0.18).

Tenure Trends: Analysis reveals a "Golden Cohort" at Tenure Year 13, showing outlier loyalty performance. Conversely, Years 11 & 12 represent a churn risk period.

Financial Profile: High Income customers renew at 18%, nearly double the rate of Low Income customers (10%). Retention efforts must prioritize financial value.

4. Engagement & Channels

Catalog is the strongest differentiator; high propensity customers make 2.3x more catalog purchases. Engagement drops off sharply after 60 days ("Recency"), making the first 20 days critical for retention.

5. Churn Risk Segmentation

Low Risk Segment (26% of Base)

Profile: High income (>£67k), PhD/Master education, active within last 20 days.

Strategy: Cross-sell premium policies.

Medium Risk Segment (24% of Base)

Profile: Average income, moderate tenure, selective shopper.

Strategy: Targeted engagement campaigns.

High Risk Segment (50% of Base)

Profile: Low income, inactive >60 days, "Basic" education, zero campaign history.

Strategy: Budget-friendly retention plans.

6. AI Knowledge Base Applications

The Gemini-powered chatbot allows executives to query the data naturally:

  • "Which campaign has the highest ROI?" (Answer: Campaign 4)
  • "What defines our High Propensity customers?"
  • "Should we discontinue Campaign 2?" (Answer: Yes, 1.3% acceptance)

7. Strategic Recommendations

Campaign Optimization

Action: Pause Campaign 2 immediately and reallocate budget to Campaign 4. Leverage Catalogs by sending physical mailers specifically to the "High Propensity" bucket.

Retention & Loyalty Programs

Action: Implement a "Loyalty Anniversary" reward for the "Golden Cohort" (Tenure 13). Deploy proactive engagement campaigns for the "Risk Years" (Tenure 11-12).

Propensity-Based Targeting

Action: Target the High Propensity group with value-add services. Offer flexible payment options to the Low Propensity group to solve the affordability churn driver.

8. Conclusion

While the portfolio is stable, leveraging these insights—specifically targeting the educated, high-income segment with Catalog campaigns and retiring the failing Campaign 2—can increase the renewal rate toward 18-20%. Data-driven decision making will maximize marketing ROI and strengthen long-term profitability.

Company Profile: OptiSecure Insurance Ltd

Founded: 2011 | Headquarters: Manchester | Policyholders: 350,000+

Established in 2011, OptiSecure Insurance is a digital-first insurer specializing in personal lines. The firm leverages sophisticated analytics and mobile app-based servicing to maintain award-winning customer satisfaction.